Mets vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25 (2024)

Data Skrive

The New York Yankees and Gleyber Torres take the field in the first game of a two-game series against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium. The Mets are -115 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Yankees (-105). The Mets are favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

The New York Mets will hand the ball to Justin Verlander (4-5, 3.47 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Domingo German (5-6, 4.52 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mets vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to Watch on TV: TBS

Mets vs. Yankees Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Yankees 46%

Mets vs. Yankees Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 35, or 55.6%, of those games.
• The Mets have a record of 32-27, a 54.2% win rate, when they're favored by -115 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 53.5% chance to win.
• The Yankees have won in 13, or 40.6%, of the 32 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, the Yankees have won 12 of 28 games when listed as at least -105 or better on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

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Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 21 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 42 walks while hitting .226.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Lindor ranks 24th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Lindor carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .111 with three walks and an RBI.
• Alonso has shown his power as he paces his team with 26 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
• Alonso is fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Alonso has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a .263 batting average.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .248 with 15 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 28 walks.
• McNeil has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and two RBI.

Mets Team Props

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Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Yankees have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Torres has posted a team-best batting average of .264 and paces the Yankees in runs batted in with a mark of 43.
• Torres' home run total puts him 46th in the big leagues, and he ranks 92nd in RBI.
• Torres takes a hitting streak of 13 games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .381 with a triple, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .253 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 34 walks.
• Rizzo ranks 96th in homers and 105th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .209 with 11 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .233 with 16 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.

Yankees Team Props

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